Naval Postgraduate School
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Faculty Publications

Anwender, D., S. Jones, M. Leutbecher, and P. A. Harr, 2010: Sensitivity experiments for ensemble forecasts of the extratropical transition of Typhoon Tokage.  Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 136, 183-200.

Andreasa, Edgar L., Persson, P. Ola G., Jordan, Rachel E., Horst, Thomas W., Guest, Peter S., Grachev, Andrey A.,and Fairall, Christopher W. 2010: Parameterizing turbulent exchange over sea ice in winter, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 11, 87 - 104, DOI 10.1175/2009JHM1102.1

Andreasa, Edgar L., Thomas W. Horst, Andrey A. Grachev, P. Ola G. Persson, Christopher W. Fairall, Peter S. Guest, and Rachel E. Jordan, 2010: Parameterising turbulent exchange over summer sea ice and the marginal ice zone, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, (in press).

Bell, M. M., and M. T. Montgomery, 2010:   Sheared deep vortical convection in pre-depression Hagupit during TCS08, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L06802.

Chang, C.-P, N. C. Lau, R. H. Johnson, and M. Jiao, 2011: Bridging weather and climate in research and forecasts of the global monsoon system. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 92, in press.

Chang, C.-P., M.-M. Lu, and B. Wang, 2011: The East Asian Winter Monsoon. Chap. 3 in The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 2nd Ed., World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate. Vol. 5, in press.

Elsberry, R. L., 2010:  Critical time requirements for operational use of deterministic and ensemble tropical cyclone track forecasts.  Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 46, 217-220.

Elsberry, R. L., M. S. Jordan, and F. Vitart, 2010:  Predictability of tropical cyclone events on intraseasonal timescales with the ECMWF monthly forecast model.  Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 46, 135-153.

Graf, M., R. W. Moore, and M. Sprenger, 2010:  European tornadic environments as viewed from a potential vorticity and Lagrangian perspective. Atm. Res., in press.

Hacker, J.,  C. Snyder,  S.-Y. Ha, and M. Pocernich, 2011: Linear and nonlinear response to parameter variations in a mesoscale model.  Tellus A. Accepted for publication.

Hacker, J.,  S.-Y. Ha, C. Snyder, J. Berner, F. Eckel,  E. Kuchera, M. Pocernich, S. Rugg, J. Schramm, and X. Wang, 2011: The U.S. Air Force Weather Agency’s mesoscale ensemble: Scientific description and performance results.  Tellus A.  Accepted for publication.

Hacker, J., 2010: Spatial and temporal scales of boundary layer predictability in response to small-amplitude land-surface uncertainty.  J. Atmos. Sci., 217-233.

Harr, P. A., 2010: The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones: Structural Characteristics, Downstream Impacts, and Forecast Challenges.  Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones, World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, Vol. 4. J. C. L. Chan and J. D. Kepert, Eds. World Scientific Press, 149-177, ISBN-10: 981-4293-47-4

Harris, R. J., J. R. Mecikalski, W. M. MacKenzie, Jr., P. A. Durkee, and K. E. Nielsen, 2010: Definition of GOES infrared fields of interest associated with lightning initiation. J. Appl. Meteor. Climat. 49, 2527-2543.

Knievel, J. D. Rife, J. Grim, A. Hahmann, J. Hacker, M. Ge, and H. Fisher, 2010: A simple technique for creating regional composites of sea-surface temperature from MODIS for use in
operational mesoscale NWP.  J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 49, 2267-2284.

Lavin, M. F., Ruben Castro, Emilio Beier, Victor M. Godinez, Alberto Amador and Peter Guest, 2010: SST, thermohaline structure and circulation in the southern Gulf of California in June 2004, during the North American Monsoon Experiment, Journal of Geophysical Research (Oceans),(in press).

Lee, C. S.,  K. K. W. Cheung,  W.-T. Fang, and R. L. Elsberry, 2010:  Initial maintenance of tropical cyclone size in the western North Pacific. Monthly Weather Review, 138, 3207-3223.

Lee, C.S., C. C. Wu, T. C. Chen, and R. L. Elsberry, 2010:  Advances in understanding the perfect monsoon-influenced typhoon.  Asia-Pacific J. Atmos. Sci. (in press).

Levina, G. V., M. T. Montgomery, 2010:   A first examination of the helical nature of tropical cyclogenesis, Doklady Earth Sciences, Vol. 434, Part I, pp. 1285-1289.

Montgomery, M. T. and L. L. Lussier III, R. W. Moore and Z. Wang, 2010: The genesis of Typhoon Nuri as observed during the Tropical Cyclone Structure 2008 (TCS-08) field experiment – Part 1: The role of the easterly wave critical layer. Atm. Chem. and Phys., 10, 9879-9900.

Montgomery, Michael T., and Roger K. Smith, 2010:   On an analytical model for the rapid intensification of tropical cyclones, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 136: 549-551, January 2010 Part B.

Montgomery, Michael T., Roger K. Smith, and Sang V. Nguyen, 2010:   Sensitivity of tropical cyclone models to the surface drag coefficient, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., In Press.

Montgomery, Michael T., Zhuo Wang, and Timothy J. Dunkerton, 2010:   Coarse, intermediate and high resolution numerical simulations of the transition of a tropical wave critical layer to a tropical storm, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10, 10803-10827.

Moore, R. W., O. Martius, and T. Spengler, 2010:  The modulation of the subtropical and extratropical atmosphere in the Pacific basin in response to the Madden Julian Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2761-2779.

Murillo, S. T., W.-C. Lee, M. M. Bell, F. D. Marks Jr., P. P. Dodge, and G. M. Barnes, 2010: Intercomparison of GBVTD-retrieved circulation centers and structures of Hurricane Danny (1997) from two coastal WSR-88Ds. Mon. Wea. Rev, in press.

Park, M.-S., C.-H. Ho, J.-W. Kim, and R. L. Elsberry, 2010: Diurnal circulations and their multi-scale interaction on rainfall over the South China Sea during intraseasonal monsoon westerly wind bursts. Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0922-2.

Penny, A. B., A. P. Showman, and D. S. Choi (2010), Suppression of the Rhines effect and the location of vortices on Saturn, J. Geophys. Res., 115, E02001, doi:10.1029/2009JE003384.

Robertson, A. W., V. Moron, J.-H. Qian, C.-P. Chang, F. Tangang, E. Aldrian, T. Y. Koh, and L. Juneng 2011: The Maritime Continent Monsoon. Chap. 9 in The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 2nd Ed., World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate. Vol. 5, in press.

Rostkier-Edelstein, D., and J. Hacker, 2010: The roles of surface-observation ensemble assimilation and model complexity for nowcasting PBL profiles: A factor separation analysis.  Wea. and Forecast., 25, 1670-1690.

Rutherford, B., Dangelmayr, G., Persing, J., Schubert, W. H., and Montgomery, M. T. , 2010: Advective mixing in a nondivergent barotropic hurricane model, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 475-497.

Smith, Roger K., and Michael T. Montgomery, 2010:   Hurricane boundary-layer theory, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 136: 1665 – 1670, October 2010 Part A.

Smith, Roger K., Christoph W. Schmidt, and Michael T. Montgomery, 2010:  Dynamical constraints on the intensity and size of tropical cyclones, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., Accepted subject to revision.

Tsai, H.-C., K.-C. Lu,  R. L. Elsberry,  M.-M. Lu, and C.-H. Sui, 2010:  Tropical cyclone-like vortices detection in the NCEP’s 16-day ensemble system over the western North Pacific in 2008: Application and forecast evaluation. Weather and Forecasting (in press).

Wang, B., Z. Wu, C.-P. Chang, J. Liu, J. Li, T. Zhou, 2010: Another Look at Interannual to Interdecadal Variations of the East Asian Winter Monsoon:  The Northern and Southern Temperature Modes. J. Climate, 23, 1495-1512.

Wang, Q., J.A. Kalogiros,  S. R. Ramp, J.D. Paduan,  G. Buzorius, H. Jonsson, 2011: Wind Stress Curl and Coastal Upwelling in the Area of Monterey Bay Observed During AOSN-II, J. Phys. Oceanography., accepted.

Wang, Z., M. T. Montgomery, and T. J. Dunkerton, 2010:   Genesis of Pre-hurricane Felix (2007). Part I: The Role of the Easterly Wave Critical Layer, J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1711–1729.

Wang, Z., M. T. Montgomery, and T. J. Dunkerton:   Genesis of Pre-hurricane Felix (2007). Part II: Warm core formation, precipitation evolution and predictability, J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1730–1744.

Wang, Zhuo, Timothy J. Dunkerton, and Michael T. Montgomery, 2010: Application of the Marsupial Paradigm to Tropical Cyclone Formation from Northwestward Propagating Disturbances, Mon. Wea. Rev., Accepted subject to revision.

Zhang, Jun A., Frank D. Marks, Michael T. Montgomery, and Sylvie Lorsolo, 2010:   Estimation of turbulence characteristics in the eyewall boundary layer of Hurricane Hugo (1989), Mon. Wea. Rev., In Press.

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