Publications & Presentations

Peer-Reviewed Conference Publications

1. Aros, Susan, Anne Marie Baylouny, Deborah E. Gibbons, and Mary McDonald, “Toward Better Management of Potentially Hostile Crowds,” Winter Simulation Conference 2021. Peer-reviewed paper accepted and to be published in WSC 2021 Proceedings.

2. Cape, Melvin R., Steven B. Hall, Anne Marie Baylouny, Matthew Zefferman, Susan Aros, Jumanne K. Donahue, Howard E. Lee, and Neil F. Sleevi. “Population Migration Decision-Making,” I/ITSEC (Interservice/Industry Training, Simulation, and Education Conference) December 2020. Peer-reviewed and published in proceedings.

Conference Presentations

1. Aros, Susan, Anne Marie Baylouny, Deborah E. Gibbons, and Mary McDonald, “Toward Better Management of Potentially Hostile Crowds,” Winter Simulation Conference 2021. Peer-reviewed paper accepted and to be published in WSC 2021 Proceedings.

2. Baylouny, Anne Marie and Anshu Chatterjee, “The mob made me do it? Collective identity, agency, and crowd theories in the Capitol siege and Black Lives Matter protests,” American Political Science Association conference, October 1, 2021.

3. Cape, Melvin R., Steven B. Hall, Anne Marie Baylouny, Matthew Zefferman, Susan Aros, Jumanne K. Donahue, Howard E. Lee, and Neil F. Sleevi. “Population Migration Decision-Making,” I/ITSEC (Interservice/Industry Training, Simulation, and Education Conference) December 2020. Peer-reviewed paper accepted and published in proceedings.

4. Aros, Susan and Anne Marie Baylouny, “Modeling Effects of Non-Lethal Weapon Selection and Tactical Rules of Engagement on Crowds in Peace Operations,” MORS: Military Operations Research Society, Emerging Techniques Forum, December 9, 2020.

Non-Conference Presentations

1. Upcoming: Aros, Susan. "Gaining Insights into Effective Management of Hostile Crowds", presentation and demonstration at MOVES Open House 2022.

2. "Workbench for refining Rules of Engagement against Crowd Hostiles", presentation to the NATO Modeling and Simulation Group MSG-198, December 22, 2021.

3. Naval Warfare Studies Institute. Presentation to our human behavior model in workshop on innovation in the gray zone using IFCs, November 9, 2021.

4. MOVES institute. ‘Brown bag’ presentation to MOVES students and faculty about our work, September 2, 2021.

Conference Participation

1. Upcoming: Baylouny, Anne Marie and Susan Aros. “Advances in Modeling Conflict Interaction Using Social Psychology,” American Political Science Association Conference, Montreal, Canada, September 2022.

2. Upcoming: Aros, Susan. “Modeling Potentially Hostile Crowds” presentation to the 90th Military Operations Research Society Symposium, as part of the Human Behavior and Performance Community of Practice Session. Quantico, VA, June 2022.

3. Baylouny, Anne Marie and Susan Aros. “Modeling protest-security forces dynamics: Agency, collective identities, and sub-groups in the Capitol Siege and BLM,” International Studies Conference, Nashville, TN, April 2, 2022

4. Aros, Susan, Anne Marie Baylouny, Deborah E. Gibbons, and Mary McDonald, “Toward Better Management of Potentially Hostile Crowds,” Winter Simulation Conference 2021. Peer-reviewed paper accepted and to be published in WSC 2021 Proceedings.

5. Aros, Susan. “Complex Agent Based Simulation for Management of Potentially Hostile Crowds using IFCs,” presentation to the MORS ETF (Military Operations Research Society Emerging Techniques Forum) conference, December 7, 2021.

6. Baylouny, Anne Marie and Anshu Chatterjee, “The mob made me do it? Collective identity, agency, and crowd theories in the Capitol siege and Black Lives Matter protests,” American Political Science Association conference, October 1, 2021.

7. Cape, Melvin R., Steven B. Hall, Anne Marie Baylouny, Matthew Zefferman, Susan Aros, Jumanne K. Donahue, Howard E. Lee, and Neil F. Sleevi. “Population Migration Decision-Making,” I/ITSEC (Interservice/Industry Training, Simulation, and Education Conference) December 2020. Peer-reviewed paper accepted and published in proceedings.

8. Aros, Susan and Anne Marie Baylouny, “Modeling Effects of Non-Lethal Weapon Selection and Tactical Rules of Engagement on Crowds in Peace Operations,” MORS: Military Operations Research Society, Emerging Techniques Forum, December 9, 2020.

9. Baylouny, Anne Marie. “When People Move: A Model of International Migration,” ISSS-IS, Denver, CO, October 18, 2019.

Technical and Non-technical Reports

1. Joint Intermediate Force Capabilities Office (JIFCO) (formerly, Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Directorate), “An Anticipatory Analytics Approach to Refining ROEs for Non-Lethal Weapons: Application to Humanitarian Logistics,” FY2020-present

2. “Effects of Different Intermediate Force Capabilities and Rules of Engagement in Crowd Control with WRENCH 4.5”, March 2022

3. “Exploring the Effects of Force Activities in Anticipation of Crowd Hostilities with WRENCH 4.3”, January 2022

4. Naval Research Program, Sponsored by Joint Intermediate Force Capabilities Office (JIFCO), “Identity Dynamics, Needs, and Social Influences on Human Effects of Flashbang Grenades,” Oct 2021

5. “Workbench for Refining Rules of Engagement against Crowd Hostiles: Developing and Testing WRENCH 4.0” March 2021

6. Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Directorate (U.S. Marine Corps led), “Context Modeling in Support of NLW ROE’s Optimization,” FY2020

7. Naval Research Program for Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Directorate, “Context Modeling in Support of NLW ROE’s Optimization,” Oct 2020

8. TRADOC G-2, FY2019-20, “Non-Combatant Migration in the Battlespace,” (PI Steve Hall, ret., DA dept, co-PI Anne Marie Baylouny)